·Automobiles compete for automatic driving on the road to 2020

Freeing your hands on the road, this lens that only exists in sci-fi movies, may happen to you and me in 5 years. This is not a fantasy. As early as a few years ago, foreign auto giants, together with the domestic mainstream automakers, have taken action and directed the explosion of autonomous driving technology to 2020.

From foreign giants GM, Ford, Toyota... to domestic auto companies BAIC, BYD, Geely... If these auto companies really put their auto-driving cars into 4S stores in a few years, then your troubles are coming again. . Imported cars, joint venture cars, and self-owned brands, how do you choose this time? Remind that there will be inevitable Apple, Google, and Tesla's "spoiler". Will you queue up for Xidan Joy City at 5 o'clock in the morning for an iCar with built-in autopilot technology?

Today, a battle for autonomous driving has started. At the first time in 2020, the node will present a new automotive industry landscape.

2020 year

After several years of groping, the results of the autopilot tests of major auto companies have surfaced.

During the National Day, Toyota, which originally claimed that it would not develop a fully-automobile car, announced the test results of its self-driving test vehicle, which has been demonstrated on the Tokyo Expressway and connected by automatic driving. , lane keeping, lane change and diversion operations, and plans to achieve commercialization by 2020. A few days later, Ford announced in Shanghai that it will introduce more environmentally friendly, intelligent products and innovative mobile travel technology. Ford China CEO Luo Lixiang said: "Ford will not be the first company to push autonomous vehicles to the road, but Ford must be the first company to push the self-driving cars that can enter thousands of households to the road. In the match, Ford will win." Ford obviously has to accelerate in the process of commercialization.

However, GM and BMW seem to be pushing faster for the commercialization of autonomous vehicles. According to its plan, starting from the second half of 2016, the 2017 Chevrolet Volt will be autopilot in the new Warren Technology Center campus. In fact, since 2012, GM has been testing its "Super Cruise" autopilot technology, which has been determined to be the first to be equipped with the 2017 Cadillac CT6. At the same time, Nissan and Mercedes-Benz, Audi's footsteps are not slow, have announced that they will be listed in 2020 auto-driving cars. Volvo is planning ahead three years ahead of schedule and is expected to provide self-driving car testing to 100 consumers in Sweden in 2017. Undoubtedly, the concept of autonomous driving is getting closer and closer to reality. Google’s driverless cars are now able to conduct 10,000 miles of public road testing every week. The upcoming BMW 7 Series, which will be launched in China, will be equipped with a high driving assistance system. Basically achieved semi-automatic driving.

Compared with traditional cars, the speed of smart cars born with high technology is undoubtedly faster. The desire for potentially huge business opportunities is also an important reason for the major auto giants to step up their pace. According to a report released by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), the global penetration rate of autopilot functions is expected to reach 12% to 13% by 2025, with a market capitalization of approximately $42 billion. It can be seen that if it can successfully occupy the position in 2020, it will realize the division of interests in the future.

Autonomous power

Although foreign auto giants are advancing relatively fast on autonomous driving technology, this is not a patent for foreign automakers. Domestic independent auto companies have been quietly working hard. In recent years, auto brands such as FAW, SAIC, BAIC, GAC, Geely and BYD have entered the field. For example, the unmanned vehicle of FAW Hongqi HQ3 completed the high-speed full-range unmanned driving experiment from Changsha to Wuhan for the first time in 2013, creating a new record of self-driving of self-developed unmanned vehicles in complex traffic conditions. . A few days ago, BAIC also clarified its driverless plan.

“At the Beijing International Auto Show next year, we will strive to launch an unmanned product for trial rides.” At the China Automotive Intelligent Summit held recently, Xu Heyi, the chairman of BAIC Group, not only throws out Beiqi’s auto intelligence. The product planning, and revealed that BAIC and LeTV will have more important and larger cooperation, "it is expected to be officially released before the end of the year."

Feng Fei, director of the Industrial Policy Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China, said: "Autopilot is the highest performance of product intelligence, and I am afraid it is a commanding height for the global future competition. We have no choice." Compared with foreign giants In the 2020 plan, domestic automakers have not fallen behind in the planning of the autopilot process.

Zhu Hongren, chief engineer of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China, said that the "Made in China 2025" proposed by the State Council in May this year will be an important program to guide the development of domestic car companies. According to the introduction, in the "Made in China 2025", the smart car and the intelligent development of the car have been given clear requirements, and a ruler has been established. It mentions the objectives of two aspects. By 2020, mainstream car companies must master the overall technology and key technologies of intelligent assisted driving. In addition, it is necessary to initially establish an independent research and development system and production supporting system for intelligent networked cars; by 2025, It is the time to realize the first decade of "Made in China 2025". It is necessary to master the overall technology of autopilot and various key technologies, and establish a relatively complete independent research and development system, production supporting system and industrial cluster of intelligent networked vehicles. "These two steps are two important steps in the direction of automotive automation and intelligent development that we have now seen." Zhu Hongren said.

Not smooth

Competition is hard to avoid, but autonomous car companies are latecomers on the road of intelligence. "We are congenitally deficient and acquired, and every step is difficult." Xu Heyi has no doubt about the problems encountered in intelligence. "In the research and development of smart cars, the common problem we face is the lack of key, common, and core technologies." Xu Heyi believes that foreign large enterprises not only monopolize the key components of smart cars, but also dare to invest, and have obvious advantages in competition. . “What worries us more is that almost all of the foreign auto companies in foreign countries have invested heavily in intelligent R&D and application, and the forward-looking layout, and the suppliers of world-class systems have even carried out the automotive intelligence in front of our complete vehicle companies. R&D."

Xu Heyi admits that compared with developed countries, “we have relatively few R&D and investment in automotive intelligence, and there is a shortage of cutting-edge talents who know smart car technology, and intelligent understanding of cars between research institutes and vehicle companies. The difference is also large, the industry, academia and research can not be closely combined, China's national traffic awareness is weak, and to a certain extent hinder the development of the automotive intelligent industry." In addition, "Google, Apple and other IT giants, now also Joined the development of smart cars." Xu Heyi said that competition from the IT industry has also caused the car companies to feel deep pressure.

In addition to the shortcomings inherent in technology and the lag in development, the lack of domestic policies and standards also makes car companies in their own right. "Especially for intelligent driver assistance systems, sensing systems, vehicle terminals, V2V/V2I, etc., there is no uniform standard." Zhu Hongren introduced. Feng Fei believes that "in the future, whether it is based on the cooperation of the Internet, or the car-making enterprises, the most important thing is to ensure the safety of the car, 'safety is the bottom line', and thus the driverless car must If you really get on the road, you will face legal and ethical difficulties."

Auto-driving cars are getting closer and closer. Whether it is a car giant or an autonomous car company, whoever can really mobilize the consumer's adrenaline in five years will be the winner.

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