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Incandescent lamps will "retire" LEDs to the 100 billion market
For the second consecutive day, the listed companies in the LED sector have seen a sharp rise. China Star Optoelectronics has been trading for two consecutive trading days, and the growth of the dry photo optoelectronics has exceeded 9%. LEDs are once again attracting popularity and it is not unrelated to China's ban on the import and sale of ordinary lighting incandescent lamps of 15 watts and above since October 1. At the same time, LED chips and packaging have increased sharply in recent days. The LED industry has seen a sharp rise in the LED industry for two consecutive days. Its China Star Optoelectronics has been trading for two consecutive trading days, and the growth of the dry photo optoelectronics has once exceeded 9%. LEDs are once again attracting popularity and it is not unrelated to China's ban on the import and sale of ordinary lighting incandescent lamps of 15 watts and above since October 1. At the same time, LED chips and packaging have increased sharply in recent days. The overall supply and demand relationship of the LED industry has improved, and the performance of listed companies has also recovered significantly. Analysts said that at the end of the year, the lighting industry will usher in the peak period of replacing LED lights. The LED industry will also welcome a new market of up to 100 billion yuan, and related companies face huge market opportunities. Incandescent light exits LED will reach 100 billion market According to China's "China's phase-out of incandescent light roadmap" issued at the end of 2011, since October 1, 2016, the import and sale of ordinary lighting incandescent lamps of 15 watts and above will be banned. According to industry insiders, in the case of incandescent lamp elimination important time points and the popularity of energy-saving lamps for many years, China's urban lighting in 2016 will usher in a wave of replacement LED lights. It is understood that the LED industry, especially the LED lighting field, is one of the key industries supported by the state. In recent years, China has successively issued the "China's phasing out the incandescent lamp road map", "semiconductor lighting energy-saving industrial planning", "China's gradual reduction of fluorescent lamps containing mercury road map" and other policies. The government will gradually increase the financial subsidies for LED lighting products, and gradually promote LED lighting products with mature application technologies and obvious energy-saving effects. As the exit of incandescent lamps approached, domestic LED chips and packaging manufacturers set off a price hike since the end of August. China's largest chip maker Sanan Optoelectronics has recently raised the price of some small and medium-sized products by 10%, while LED manufacturers such as Cinda Optoelectronics, Amp Optoelectronics and Mulinsen have raised the price of RGB lamp beads by 5%, which is also the year of March and 5 this year. The third price adjustment after the price adjustment. Ping An Securities said that after the price war of LED products in 2015, many domestic manufacturers have transformed or reduced production capacity. Since the supply side has been shrinking and the decline in packaging scale growth this year, the overall supply and demand relationship of the LED industry has gradually improved. The increase in cost and labor costs, this price adjustment is conducive to the improvement of LED manufacturers' profitability. The listed company's semi-annual report to the industry's overall recovery is also reflected in the performance of listed companies. According to the semi-annual report, nearly 35 percent of the 35 LED listed companies reported good news, and only five companies with falling operating income. Sunshine Lighting's semi-annual report shows that in the first half of 2016, Sunshine Lighting achieved operating revenue of 2.126 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.92%; net profit of 218 million yuan, an increase of 22%. Among them, LED products revenue was 1.74 billion yuan, an increase of 39.7%, accounting for 82.78%. The company's performance improvement will benefit from increased innovation and market input. In the second half of this year, Sunshine Lighting will continue to strengthen automation and intelligent manufacturing, and explore the Internet + mode of the lighting industry. From the LED chip leading enterprises upstream of LED lighting, their performance has also improved in the first half of this year. Taking Huacan Optoelectronics as an example, the company's total operating income for the first half of this year was 613 million yuan, up 41.16% year-on-year; net profit was 53.17 million yuan, up 323% year-on-year. In the first half of the year, the demand for LED chips continued to grow. The sales of LED chips of Huacan Optoelectronics increased by 98.24% year-on-year. At the same time, the acquisition of blue crystal technology increased the sales revenue of substrate wafers, thus achieving a substantial increase in revenue. Huacan Optoelectronics said that the price of LED chips has bottomed out in the second quarter, and the enthusiasm of customers for sales repayment has increased significantly, indicating that the situation of excessive market competition has improved. The LED packaging leader in the middle of LED lighting has a good performance in the first half of this year. In the first half of this year, Hongli Zhihui's total operating income was 990 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.34%; net profit was 138 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141.6%. The company said that in the first half of 2016, as the LED lighting market continued to improve, the company's LED automotive lighting, LED brackets, LED packaging business scale continued to develop, while the company transferred the shareholding subsidiary Xinquan Optoelectronics 15.05% stake in the first half of the year. And the increase in government subsidies received has increased profits. Speeding up the expansion of listed companies While the performance is improving, the expansion of LED listed companies is also accelerating. Liard announced on the evening of August 26 that the company intends to acquire 100% equity of Shanghai Lanshuo Digital Technology Co., Ltd. with a cash consideration of RMB 150 million. It plans to acquire 100% equity of Sichuan Purui Lighting Engineering Co., Ltd. in cash of RMB 120 million to 180 million. Yuan Cash acquired 100% equity of Xi'an Vanke Times System Integration Engineering Co., Ltd. The analysis pointed out that through these three mergers and acquisitions, Liard's business has covered Central China, East China and Southwest China, and gradually formed a national coverage network. Mulinsen, who is currently suspended, is also constantly moving. On August 25, the board of directors of the company passed the proposal to sign an investment agreement for LED lighting projects with Zhejiang Yiwu Industrial Park. It plans to invest 5.5 billion yuan to build an LED lighting project of about 600 mu in Yiwu Industrial Park. It is expected to be opened after the project is completed and put into production. With an income of more than 10 billion yuan and an annual tax payment of more than 600 million yuan, it is planned to be completed and put into production within two years, and will be completed before the end of December 2022, thus accelerating the expansion to the downstream LED lighting field. On July 27, Mulinsen also announced that Mingxin Optoelectronics, a subsidiary of Yiwu Harmony Mingxin Equity Partnership, which was jointly established by the company and its partners, signed a share purchase agreement with the relevant shareholders to acquire all the shares of OSV's LEDVANCE. According to related reports, the Chinese consortium that acquired Osram's light source business includes IDG Capital, Mulinsen and Yiwu State-owned Assets Operation Center, which contributed a total of 400 million euros (about 2.931 billion yuan). According to previous announcements, Mulinsen’s capital contribution in Harmony Mingxin will increase from approximately 179 million yuan to 1.25 billion yuan. The asset restructuring plan released by Huacan Optoelectronics on the suspension on July 21 this year shows that the initial proposed restructuring target asset is Harmony Corelight (Yiwu) Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd., and the company purchases 100% equity of Meixin Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Leading companies are expected to benefit brokerage researchers pointed out that LED lighting is the third light source revolution after incandescent and fluorescent lamps. Due to its many advantages such as energy saving, environmental protection, long life and wide application, the major countries and regions in the world have vigorously developed the LED industry. With the gradual advancement of policies and the outbreak of demand, China, as one of the major LED production and consumption countries in the world, faces significant historical opportunities. In the choice of investment targets, analysts recommend focusing on Sanan Optoelectronics (chip leading enterprises, the entire industry chain layout), sunshine lighting (LED lighting faucet), Dehao Runda (with the rapid development of NVC lighting brand advantages and channel advantages) ), Hongli Optoelectronics (leading white LED package), Ruifeng Optoelectronics (leading white LED package), Guoxing Optoelectronics (MDLED package) and Aoyang Shunchang, Liard (300296), Jufei Optoelectronics, etc. Ping An Securities also said that with the bottom of LED prices and the increasing concentration of the industry, optimistic about the long-term development prospects of the LED industry, the industry logic of the larger Evergrande will benefit related companies, so it is recommended to recommend LED packaging giant Mulinsen; Recommended LED + car network two-wheel drive Hongli Zhihui.